Educational Differentials in Rates and Probabilities of First Marriage for Taiwanese Women Born in 1879-1991

Yi-chuan Chang, National Taiwan University

I apply the Kaplan-Meier estimator and the Cox proportional hazard models to document cohort trends of marriage rates and eventual probabilities of first marriage in Taiwan using data pooled from 15 waves of the Women’s Marriage, Fertility, and Employment Surveys conducted between 1979 and 2006. The results suggest that marriage rates and the proportions of women ever having been married have declined over successive birth cohorts of Taiwanese women born between 1879 and 1991. In all birth cohorts, highly educated women have had lower marriage rates and lower probabilities of ever having been married than their lower educated counterparts. The educational differentials in marriage rates and the probabilities of ever having been married have increased across birth cohorts.

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Presented in Session 66: Marriage Formation in Historical and Comparative Perspective